Asia - Telecom Forecasts
LONDON, Feb. 24, 2015 /PRNewswire/ -- As the mobile market across Asia shifts to new generation services, growth in total mobile subscriber numbers moderates The report provides a series of what BuddeComm terms scenario forecasts. By describing long-range scenarios we identify a band within which we expect subscriber growth to occur. The associated text provides additional information on the market and describes what we consider to be the most likely growth trend within the identified band. The actual scenario forecasts are summarised in a series of tables for each country and market segment.
The scenario forecasting methodology applies our own historical market information, together with telecommunications sector statistics from official and non-official, national and international sources. We assume a possible deviation of 15-20% around this data. Where relevant, any statistics for GDP, revenue, etc are quoted in US$, in order to maintain consistency within and between markets. At the same time we acknowledge that this can introduce some irregularities.
A set of sample tables are presented below, these being the actual scenario forecasts for Malaysia. The upper and lower scenarios forecasts in this instance are for the years 2015 and 2020.
Malaysia – Forecast fixed-line subscribers – 2015; 2020/b>
Year | Lower growth scenario | Higher growth scenario Subscribers (million) | Penetration | Subscribers (million) | Penetration 2011 | 4.1 | 14.2% | 4.1 | 14.2% 2012 | 3.9 | 13.3% | 3.9 | 13.3% 2013 (actual) | 3.7 | 12.6% | 3.7 | 12.6% 2015 | 3.5 | 11.8% | 3.9 | 13.1% 2020 | 3.2 | 9.8% | 4.3 | 13.2% (Source: BuddeComm, forecasts)
Malaysia – Forecast broadband internet subscribers – 2015; 2020 Year | Lower growth scenario | Higher growth scenario Subscribers1 (million) | HH Penetration | Subscribers1 (million) | HH Penetration 2011 | 5.7 | 62% | 5.7 | 62% 2012 | 6.4 | 66% | 6.4 | 66% 2013 (actual) | 6.4 | 67% | 6.4 | 67% 2015 | 8.0 | 70% | 13.5 | 75% 2020 | 11.0 | 80% | 22.0 | 100% (Source: BuddeComm, forecasts) Note: 1includes all fixed and mobile wireless broadband subscribers
Malaysia – Forecast mobile subscribers – 2015; 2020 Year | Lower growth scenario | Higher growth scenario Subscribers (million) | Penetration | Subscribers (million) | Penetration 2011 | 36.7 | 128% | 36.7 | 128% 2012 | 41.3 | 142% | 41.3 | 142% 2013 (actual) | 43.0 | 145% | 43.0 | 145% 2015 | 45.0 | 148% | 49.0 | 161% 2020 | 50.0 | 152% | 60.0 | 182% (Source: BuddeComm, forecasts)
Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year Download the full report: https://www.reportbuyer.com/product/2057598/
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